Bellingcat tests LLMs at geolocation
TLDR
- Bellingcat tested models on 52 unpublished, metadata-scrubbed photos; several placed at least 10 within 1 km.1
- Top models placed over half the photos within 25 km, but none was close to perfect at the exact spot.1
- Bellingcat says Anthropic's GeoGuessr-based comparison has workarounds, and a researcher it quotes flags possible training-data contamination.1
Bellingcat has published its latest round of AI geolocation benchmarks, testing closed and open-weight models on 52 photos that had never been online, and says the best models narrow a location quickly but none reliably finds the exact spot.1
Why it matters: this is a methodology update for investigators deciding whether to add LLMs to a geolocation workflow. Top models could narrow a context-free photo to a general area, in some cases faster than a human could, so they suit a first pass. None was close to exact, so every answer still needs checking against imagery.1
Driving the news:
- Bellingcat ran the test after Anthropic's September post, which, in Bellingcat's words, claimed its models were approaching "superhuman capabilities for geolocating outdoor photos".1
- Models had to give one set of coordinates, with no hedging, and could use their providers' built-in search, code execution and page-fetch tools.1
- Gemini 4 Argon scored highest on Bellingcat's Mean Log Score, which rewards closing the last few kilometres. Claude's Opus and Fable led on either metric, and Claude Sonnet answered fastest.1
- GeoSeer Fast refused four photos, Mistral Large 4 refused one, and Gemini 4 Argon repeatedly timed out on one.1
By the numbers:
- 52 photos, none previously published, with metadata scrubbed.1
- At least 10 within 1 km for several models; over half within 25 km for the top models.1
The big picture: Bellingcat has benchmarked models since June 2025.1 Anthropic's own evaluation used Flickr photos, no tools, and GeoGuessr duels as a proxy human baseline, because it had none for that dataset.2 Bellingcat quotes Anthropic's Mythos medians of 37.0 km and 47.2 km across 6,000 photos, and Israel Defense reports a 151 km figure for top GeoGuessr players.13 Mythos is not fully released, so it was not tested.1
The other side: Nuno Moniz of the University of Notre Dame, quoted by Bellingcat, criticises median-based comparisons and says training-data contamination is hard to rule out.1 The two tests are not like for like: Anthropic's used no tools on online photos, while Bellingcat's allowed tools on unpublished ones.12 Bellingcat calls Anthropic's example images easy and says Anthropic acknowledges the test does not emulate precise pinning in a sparsely populated battlefield.1
Single-source note: the benchmark results come from Bellingcat's own tests and have not been independently replicated. Anthropic's figures are as quoted by Bellingcat and Israel Defense.13
Sources
- Can LLMs Supercharge Geolocations? Our Tests Show Big Improvements But Humans Remain Key (Bellingcat)
- Measuring tactical intelligence targeting and conventional weapons capabilities of AI models (Anthropic)
- Anthropic Warns AI Is Already Being Used for Military and Intelligence Operations (Israel Defense)